Thursday, May 11, 2017
Dean Dennis to Jim Stoll
May 11, 2017
Subject: What STRS isn't doing
Jim,
I've been going to the STRS meetings with Bob lately trying to
encourage them to make investments in our interests. For instance, why has STRS
lowered their earning assumption to 7.45%? This makes no sense. Are they trying
to enrich their investment staff or our pension fund? I say this because S&P
500 has historically annually averaged over 9% since the 1920's. There have been
sixty (60), thirty year (30) cycles from which to measure. In other words, over
a thirty year cycle how much will the S&P 500 return on an annual basis? The
answer is the S&P has always returned greater than 8% and over a third of
the time has returned greater than 10%. Simply investing in ETFs (Equity Trading
Funds) tied to the S&P 500 lowers risks and provides a greater return that
STRS performance.
Also consider this, why aren't they investing significantly in other
baskets of ETF's in different segments to increase what they can earn with our
monies? Here are four: XSD (a basket of semi-conductor stocks) it has returned
157% over the last 5 years, PSCT (a basket of information, software and
electronic stocks) it has returned 142% over the past 5 years,-VHT (a basket of
stocks tied to health care) it has averaged 124% over the past 5 years, XBI (a
basket of biotech stocks) it has returned 170% over the past 5 years.
My point is the above basket of ETF's have averaged 18% annually over
the last 5 years. Why are we investing in hedge funds, foreign equities and real
estate. It take very little research to discover that Foreign Equities have
under performed US Equities over the last 5, 10, 15, 20, 25 year periods. That
said, STRS likely pays a quarter of a million annually to outside firms who
either don't share this information, or it is simply ignored. Bottom-line, when
you refuse to look at solid investments maybe you do need to lower your earning
assumption expectations to lower than the market provides.
Dean Dennis
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