Monday, June 12, 2017
Teacher pension update points to problems
John Damschroder, Columnist
Published Feb. 21, 2017
John Damschroder
In a classic late Friday afternoon bad news dump, the State Teachers
Retirement System of Ohio announced plans to cut its investment return
assumptions from the 7.75 percent annual projection currently used. The teachers
now join the Ohio Public Employee Retirement System and the Ohio School
Employees Retirement System in trimming a half percent from investment return
assumptions. (www.strsoh.org/news/board-news/2017/february-board-news.html)
The combined holdings of these Ohio public pension funds is $170 billion,
so the half-percent adjustment means the state acknowledges an $850 million
additional annual increase to the unfunded liability of the retirement
systems.
Ohio is not alone in recognizing the futility of the financial assumptions
they’ve failed to meet for a decade. But unlike most states, Ohio is maxed out
on pension contributions unless the legislature changes the law and forces
municipalities and school districts to pay much more to cut the increased
deficit.
That’s not what’s going to happen. Instead, STRS, which increased teacher
pension pay-ins from 10 percent to 14 percent of salary, is going to close an
additional $11.5 billion gap between assets and obligations over the next 30
years, by “changing the benefit design plan.” That is how bureaucrats announce
they are going to cut benefits. This follows a 2012 pension reform plan that cut
$18 billion from state liabilities by charging employees more and delivering
less.
The politicians and bureaucrats are crafting a storyline that blames
increased life spans of retirees for the problem, with STRS's Friday
announcement saying a new study recommends "adopting updated mortality tables
that account for increasing lifespans among benefit recipients." But our public
employment retirees don’t need to feel guilty for ducking death on the state’s
timetable. The real problem is an asset allocation strategy that has been an
abject failure.
Ohio’s emergence as the largest source of alternative investment funding
has made Wall Street wizards rich on annual fees that totaled $734 million last
year alone. STRS and OPERS both earned less than 1 percent last year and ended
the year with less money than they started with. To compound the
irresponsibility, leadership of both retirement systems wrote to this newspaper
professing financial strength, while these sub-par results were known to them
but still unknown to us.
How different things could have been if Ohio had not changed state law to
allow the exotic investments that first brought losses to the Ohio Bureau of
Workers Compensation and have now inflicted a much bigger calamity upon the
entire state retirement system. Relying upon a 60-40 stock-to-bond investment
fund, Ohio would have earned 8.63 percent last year and would have returned an
annualized 10.67 percent over the last eight years. Going aggressive with a
broad-based stock-only program like the S&P 500 would have returned 11.96
percent last year and 14.88 percent annualized for the last eight years.
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